Latest Hurricane Irma Information: September 7th, 11 AM

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Hurricane Irma
Photo Credit: tropicaltidbits.com

Hurricane Irma’s maximum sustained winds dips to 175 MPH – still a powerful Category 5 hurricane

Hurricane Irma
Photo Credit: National Hurricane Center/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration – 11 AM Update

Current information:

Center Location: 20.4 N, 69.7 W

Maximum Sustained Wind: 175 MPH

Movement: WNW at 16 MPH

The GFS Hurricane Model shifts a little more to the east

Hurricane Irma
Photo Credit: tropicaltidbits.com

The European, Japanese, and American Navy Hurricane Models diverge from the GFS, hit closer to home

Hurricane Irma
Photo Credit: tropicaltidbits.com – JMA or Japanese hurricane model
Hurricane Irma
Photo Credit: tropicaltidbits.com – NAVGEM or American Naval Hurricane Model
Hurricane Irma
Photo Credit: tropicaltidbits.com – ECMWF or European Hurricane Model

Citrus County rations sandbags

For immediate release

Thursday, September 7, 2017

8:05am

Contact:          Cynthia Oswald, Public Information Officer

352-527-5484

cynthia.oswald@citrusbocc.com

Sandbag Limit Update

***There is a limit of 15 bags per vehicle***

Sandbagging sites will be open Thursday, September 7 and Friday, September 8, from 8:00 am until 6:00 p.m.  Additional times and dates will be announced as needed.

The locations are as follows:

AREA 1:

4508 S. Grandmarch Ave. Homosassa

(Near Grover Cleveland Blvd.)

AREA 5:

 

7490 W. Gulf to Lake Hwy. Crystal River

(Near Dan’s Clam Stand – on opposite side of road)

 

***There is a limit of 15 bags per vehicle***

If you have any questions, please feel free to contact the Road maintenance Office at 527-7610.

Updates and information will also be made on Facebook and Twitter throughout the event duration.

Governor Scott holds a press conference

According to Governor, Rick Scott, the Florida Keys will start to experience the effects of Hurricane Irma tomorrow night.

Scott directly addressed those living on the West Coast of Florida during his press conference, stating that “you can’t be complacent.” He also pointed out that Hurricane Irma was a bigger storm than Hurricane Andrew and would be felt throughout the entire state regardless of landfall location.

Florida Highway Patrol releases a statement

TRAFFIC ALERT TURNPIKE

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE                                                         Contact: SGT.  KIM MONTES

September 6, 2017                                                                                                     407-797-2707

Turnpike

Troopers have been monitoring the high volume of traffic along the Florida Turnpike, as drivers evacuate south Florida.  There are extra Troopers, road rangers and wreckers to assist those drivers, whose vehicles become disabled. Unfortunately, the increased number of disabled and abandoned vehicles, has created a problem for emergency workers utilizing the shoulders, to reach crash victims and other roadway issues. Beginning tomorrow (9/7/17) at 6:00 am, any vehicle left disabled or abandoned along the Florida Turnpike will be towed off of the roadway. Drivers can call *FHP on their cell phones if assistance is needed.  The Florida Turnpike is also using the cameras along the roadway to monitor problems that arise.

We also want to remind drivers that all service plazas, along the Turnpike are open and troopers are assisting the movement of drivers needing to refuel.  Only vehicles are allowed to fuel, at this time.  No one will be permitted to fill other containers, as the goal is to get drivers back on the road, as soon as possible.

Stopping along the Turnpike, except in designated areas is prohibited, unless your vehicle becomes disabled or there is an emergency. If you are involved in a crash and it is minor, please move the vehicles from the roadway and you can exchange information and submit a driver’s report of a crash at the following link:

https://firesportal.com/Pages/Public/SelfReportNew.aspx

Recent forecast discussion at National Hurricane Center, admits that a West Coast of Florida track is still a possibility, Hurricane Watches on Florida Keys as early as later this morning

Forecast discussion is shared in its entirety.

ZCZC MIATCDAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA

Hurricane Irma Discussion Number 33…Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 AM AST Thu Sep 07 2017

Corrected to modify Key Messages to reflect the issuance of a
hurricane warning for the northwestern Bahamas.

Irma has become a little less organized during the past few hours.
Data from an Air Force reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near 0500
UTC indicated that the central pressure had risen to 921 mb and
that the winds had decreased both at the 700 mb flight-level and in
surface estimates from the Stepped Frequency Microwave Radiometer.
Since that time, the eye has become cloud filled and the central
convection has become somewhat ragged. The initial intensity is
lowered to 155 kt, and this could be a little generous. The next
aircraft is scheduled to reach Irma around 1200 UTC.

The initial motion is 290/15. The hurricane is currently being
steered by the subtropical ridge to the north, and for the next
48 h or so this motion is expected to continue with a decrease in
the forward speed. After 48 h, a mid- to upper-level trough
digging into the eastern United States is expected to create a
break in the ridge and allow Irma to turn northward. The timing of
the turn is the most important question and one still filled with
uncertainty. The UKMET, UK Ensemble mean, and the NAVGEM are the
models showing the latest turn, and they forecast Irma to move into
the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and near the west coast of the
Florida Peninsula. The ECMWF and ECMWF Ensemble mean are in the
middle of the model pack and show Irma moving over the southeastern
portion of the Florida Peninsula. The GFS, Canadian, and GFS
Ensemble mean show the earliest turn and show Irma moving east of
the coast of Florida toward the southeastern United States. The
new forecast track will best follow the ECMWF, as well as the
Florida State Superensemble and the HFIP Corrected Consensus, and
it calls for the center to move over portions of the southeastern
Florida Peninsula between 72-96 h and then across the Atlantic into
southern South Carolina by 120 h. Users are again reminded not to
focus on the exact track since the average NHC track errors at days
3, 4, and 5 are about 120, 175, and 225 miles, respectively.

Irma should remain in warm-water, and a low shear environment for
about the next three days, and thus is expected to remain a strong
hurricane, most likely Category 5 or 4. Fluctuations in intensity
are likely during the time due to internal eyewall replacement
cycles. The large-scale models suggest that shear could increase
starting at about 72 hr. However, due to the uncertainty as to
whether this will happen, the intensity forecast keeps Irma at
category 4 strength until landfall in Florida. The 96-120 h points
now have a lower intensity due to the forecast of shear and land
interaction, but Irma is still expected to be a hurricane when it
reaches the southeastern United States.

Since Irma is moving away from Puerto Rico and the radars there, the
hourly position estimates are discontinued after this advisory.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Irma is a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane and will
bring life-threatening wind, storm surge, and rainfall hazards to
the northern coast of Hispaniola today, the Turks and Caicos
tonight, and the Bahamas tonight through Saturday.

2. A hurricane watch is in effect much of Cuba. Irma is likely to
bring dangerous wind, storm surge, and rainfall to portions of these
areas on Friday and Saturday.

3. The threat of direct hurricane impacts in Florida over the
weekend and early next week continues to increase. Hurricane
watches will likely be issued for portions of the Florida Keys and
the Florida peninsula later this morning.

Submitted by: Lou Newman, Publisher, on September 7, 2017 at 10:56 AM

Updated at 11:07 AM

Suncoast Standard (c) 2016-2017. All rights reserved.

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